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Emerging role · No. 11 fastest-growing

Physician Assistants: job outlook 2025–35

BLS projects physician assistants employment to grow 21.1% from 2025 to 2035 (No. 11 fastest), with 11,500 openings a year and a $135,880 median wage.

Data compiled 2026-10-09 · BLS 2025–35 · O*NET 31.0 · AEI May 2026

Projected growth, 2025–35

+21.1%

Typical entry education: Master's degree.

BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

Job outlook

U.S. projections, BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

+21.1%

Projected employment change, 2025–35

From 168,900 jobs in 2025 to 204,600 in 2035. All occupations: +3.5%.

BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

11,500

Openings per year, 2025–35 average

Includes openings from growth and from workers who retire or change occupations.

BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

$135,880

Median annual wage, 2025

BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

Master's degree

Typical education for entry

BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

Primary profiles: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook · O*NET OnLine

Core tasks

Highest-importance task statements, O*NET 31.0 Database

  1. Make tentative diagnoses and decisions about management and treatment of patients.
  2. Interpret diagnostic test results for deviations from normal.
  3. Prescribe therapy or medication with physician approval.
  4. Obtain, compile, and record patient medical data, including health history, progress notes, and results of physical examination.
  5. Examine patients to obtain information about their physical condition.

Most important skills

Importance on a 1–5 scale, O*NET 31.0 Database

  • Critical Thinking4.12
  • Reading Comprehension4.12
  • Active Listening4.00
  • Judgment and Decision Making4.00
  • Service Orientation4.00
  • Social Perceptiveness4.00

AI exposure

How much of the work large language models touch

13%

Low exposure (β, human-rated)

Share of the occupation's tasks an LLM could speed up by at least half at equal quality, with software-dependent tasks at half weight.

Eloundou et al., Science 2024

49.0%

Augmentation share of AI use

Share of global Claude.ai conversations on these tasks with a classified collaboration pattern (excluding unclassified conversations) where AI worked with the person rather than doing the task.

Anthropic Economic Index (May 2026)

See which physician assistants tasks are exposed

Live openings

Current listings in Metaintro's jobs index

Browse current physician assistant openings in Metaintro's jobs index.

See physician assistant jobs by city

Sources & methodology

Every figure on this page comes from the public datasets below. We do not edit the source values; derived figures are explained here.

  1. Emerging roles are the 30 occupations in the BLS fastest-growing occupations table (Table 1.3, 2025–35), ranked by projected percent change.
  2. Growth, openings, wage, and entry education are the BLS figures as published; openings include growth plus replacement needs.
  3. Tasks are O*NET 31.0 core task statements ranked by importance; skills are O*NET importance ratings (1–5).
  4. Exposure is the human-annotator β score from Eloundou et al.: the share of an occupation's O*NET tasks that a large language model could do at least 50% faster at equal quality, counting tasks that need extra software (E2) at half weight. We label β under 0.25 low, 0.25–0.5 moderate, and 0.5 or more high; these bands are ours, not the authors'.
  5. BLS occupations are matched to O*NET-SOC codes with the BLS O*NET-to-NEM crosswalk; where a BLS occupation spans several O*NET occupations, we average their values.

  • BLS Employment Projections 2025–35

    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections program. Occupational projections, 2025–35, and worker characteristics, 2025 (Table 1.2); fastest growing occupations (Table 1.3); factors affecting occupational utilization (Table 1.12).

    Vintage: 2025–35 projections, released August 27, 2026. License: Public domain (U.S. federal government work). Retrieved 2026-10-09.

  • O*NET 31.0 Database

    This page includes information from the O*NET 31.0 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. Metaintro has modified all or some of this information. USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested these modifications.

    Vintage: O*NET 31.0, August 2026 release. License: CC BY 4.0. Retrieved 2026-10-09.

  • Eloundou et al., Science 2024

    Eloundou, T., Manning, S., Mishkin, P., & Rock, D. (2024). "GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs." Science, 384(6702), 1306–1308. doi:10.1126/science.adj0998. Occupation- and task-level exposure data from the authors' public repository (openai/GPTs-are-GPTs).

    Vintage: Published June 21, 2024; human annotations of O*NET tasks collected 2023. License: Data repository: MIT License. Retrieved 2026-10-09.

  • Anthropic Economic Index (May 2026)

    Massenkoff, M., Lyubich, E., Sacher, S., Hitzig, Z., Zhang, S., Heller, R., & McCrory, P. (2026). "Anthropic Economic Index report: Cadences." Anthropic, June 26, 2026. Claude.ai usage metrics by occupation, global, May 2026.

    Vintage: Release of June 26, 2026; Claude.ai conversations from May 2026. License: CC BY (data). Retrieved 2026-10-09.

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